Email info@znphi.gov.zm
Facebook X LinkedIn YouTube
Evaluation of measles and acute flaccid paralysis surveillance systems in Southern Province, Zambia, 2022 - 2024
Pdf

Keywords

Acute Flaccid Paralysis (AFP),
measles, surveillance systems
vaccine-preventable disease
Zambia

Categories

Abstract

Abstract

Background: The Vaccine-Preventable Disease (VPD) surveillance system in Zambia integrates routine immunization monitoring with disease surveillance to guide control measures. In 2022, Zambia recorded 422 measles cases and 37 deaths, with Southern Province recording the highest case fatality rate (11.2%), suggesting possible weaknesses in surveillance performance and outbreak response systems. This evaluation assessed the measles and acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance systems in Southern province of Zambia from 2022 to 2024.

Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional surveillance system evaluation following the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) guidelines. We purposively selected three districts and three facilities from each district, based on measles and AFP case burden and vaccination coverage. We collected data on system’s simplicity, usefulness, and acceptability from 27 participants using structured questionnaires. We also collected data from the electronic Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (eIDSR) system and World Health Organization databases to assess, data completeness, timeliness, and accuracy. Results were summarized using frequencies and percentages.
Results: The measles and AFP surveillance systems comprised both passive and active surveillance operating across community, health facility, district, and provincial levels. The systems demonstrated high levels of simplicity (mean score: 84.6%), usefulness (90.5%), and acceptability (90.8%). However, surveillance performance was limited by suboptimal data quality, with mean completeness of 66.7%, timeliness of 51.1%, and data accuracy of 50%. We also identified key operational challenges of inadequate specimen transportation and insufficient program funding.

Conclusion: The measles and AFP surveillance systems in Southern Province are functional, simple, acceptable, and well-integrated into routine services. However, significant gaps in data quality limit their effectiveness for early outbreak detection and timely public health response. Strengthening data management, specimen transport, and sustainable program financing will be critical to improving surveillance performance and accelerating progress toward vaccine-preventable disease control and elimination targets.

Keywords: Acute Flaccid Paralysis (AFP), measles, surveillance systems, vaccine-preventable disease, Zambia.

https://doi.org/10.65715/thp.v10i2.62
Pdf

References

Frenkel LD. The global burden of vaccine-preventable infectious diseases in children less than 5 years of age: Implications for COVID-19 vaccination. How can we do better? Allergy Asthma Proc. 2021 Sep 1;42(5):378. doi:10.2500/AAP.2021.42.210065 PubMed PMID: 34474707.

World Health Organization. Immunization | WHO | Regional Office for Africa [Internet]. [cited 2026 Jul 14]. Available from: https://www.afro.who.int/health-topics/immunization

World Health Organization/ United Nations International Children’s Fund. Progress and Challenges with Achieving Universal Immunization Coverage 2024 WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage [Internet]. Geneva, Switzerland; 2025 Jul [cited 2026 Jul 14]. Available from: https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-source/immunization/wuenic/wuenic-progress-and-challenges

Shattock AJ, Johnson HC, Sim SY, Carter A, Lambach P, Hutubessy RCW, et al. Contribution of vaccination to improved survival and health: modelling 50 years of the Expanded Programme on Immunization. The Lancet. 2024 May 25;403(10441):2307–16. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00850-X PubMed PMID: 38705159.

Patel MK, Scobie HM, Serhan F, Dahl B, Murrill CS, Nakamura T, et al. A global comprehensive vaccine-preventable disease surveillance strategy for the immunization Agenda 2030. Vaccine. 2024 Apr 8;42:S124–8. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.07.024 PubMed PMID: 38103964.

Mandyata CB, Olowski LK, Mutale W. Challenges of implementing the integrated disease surveillance and response strategy in Zambia: a health worker perspective. BMC Public Health. 2017 Sep 26;17(1). doi:10.1186/S12889-017-4791-9 PubMed PMID: 28950834.

Zambia National Public Health Institute. Zambia National Public Health Institute [Internet]. 2025 [cited 2026 Mar 25]. Vaccine Preventable Diseases – Zambia National Public Health Institute. Available from: https://ww2.znphi.co.zm/vaccine-preventable-diseases/

Mwale M, Masumbu P, Chipimo PJ, Sakubita P, Phiri A, Matanda K, et al. Bridging immunization gaps: lessons from Zambia’s 2024 measles–rubella supplementary immunisation activity. Front Public Health. 2025;13:1625514. doi:10.3389/FPUBH.2025.1625514 PubMed PMID: 40678637.

Zambia Statistics Agency, Ministry of Health (MoH) [Zambia] and, ICF. Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 2024 [Internet]. Lusaka, Zambia, and Rockville, Maryland, USA; 2024. Available from: www.DHSprogram.com.

Winter AK, Takahashi S, Carcelen AC, Hayford K, Mutale W, Mwansa FD, et al. An evaluation of the early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Zambia’s routine immunization program. PLOS Global Public Health. 2023 May 1;3(5). doi:10.1371/journal.pgph.0000554

Zambia National Public Health Institute. POLIO SITREP 2025. Zambia Polio Outbreak Response. 2025 Mar;(4).

Julie Harris. CDC-FETP Technical Webinar Series for FETP 2024-2025: Surveillance System Evaluation. Alternative Approach to Surveillance System Evaluation for Field Epidemiology Training Program [Internet]. 2025 Nov [cited 2026 Apr 3]. Available from: https://www.tephinet.org/tephinet-learning-center/tephinet-library/surveillance-system-evaluations-more-just-checklist

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Updated guidelines for evaluating public health surveillance systems: Recommendations from the Guidelines Working Group. MMWR 2001;50 (No. RR-13). [Internet]. Atlanta, GA 30333; 2001 [cited 2026 Apr 3]. Available from: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/pdf/rr/rr5013.pdf

Zambia Statistics Agency. 2022 Census of Population and Housing Population and Demographic Projections National Report [Internet]. Lusaka; 2026 Mar [cited 2026 Apr 3]. Available from: chrome-extension://efahttps://www.zamstats.gov.zm/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/National-Projections-2023-2047.pdf

Zambia Health Information Management System. Dashboard | DHIS2 [Internet]. 2025 [cited 2026 Apr 3]. Available from: https://dhis2.moh.gov.zm/hmis/dhis-web-dashboard/#/start

Ameh CA, Sufiyan MB, Jacob M, Waziri EN, Olayinka AT. Evaluation of the Measles Surveillance System in Kaduna State, Nigeria (2010-2012). Online J Public Health Inform. 2016 Dec 28;8(3). doi:10.5210/OJPHI.V8I3.7089 PubMed PMID: 28210427.

Adokiya MN, Awoonor-Williams JK, Barau IY, Beiersmann C, Mueller O. Evaluation of the integrated disease surveillance and response system for infectious diseases control in northern Ghana. BMC Public Health. 2015 Feb 4;15(1). doi:10.1186/S12889-015-1397-Y PubMed PMID: 25648630.

Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization. Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization (SAGE) - October 2019 [Internet]. 2019 [cited 2026 Mar 25]. Available from: https://www.who.int/news-room/events/detail/2019/10/08/default-calendar/strategic-advisory-group-of-experts-on-immunization-(sage)---october-2019

World Health Organization. Overview of VPD Surveillance Principles. Vaccine-Preventable Diseases. Surveillance Standards [Internet]. Geneva, Switzerland; 2018 [cited 2026 Jul 13]. Available from: https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-source/immunization/vpd_surveillance/vpd-surveillance-standards-publication/who-surveillancevaccinepreventable-01-overview-r2

Mremi IR, Rumisha SF, Sindato C, Kimera SI, Mboera LEG. Comparative assessment of the human and animal health surveillance systems in Tanzania: Opportunities for an integrated one health surveillance platform. Glob Public Health. 2023;18(1). doi:10.1080/17441692.2022.2110921 PubMed PMID: 35951768.

Chingonzoh R, Gixela Y, Motloung B, Mgobo N, Merile Z, Dlamini T. Public health surveillance perspectives from provincial COVID-19 experiences, South Africa 2021. Jàmbá : Journal of Disaster Risk Studies. 2024;16(1):1625. doi:10.4102/JAMBA.V16I1.1625 PubMed PMID: 39507563.